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Prediction for CME (2018-07-05T04:39:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2018-07-05T04:39Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/14018/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible in STEREO A COR2 on the W limb. It starts as a slowly brightening near the streamer before the CME is clearly visible. For this reason the start time can be anywhere between 02:39 (labelled by SIDC) and 13:09 (labelled by SWPC).
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2018-07-10T11:25Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2018-07-07T15:53Z
Prediction Method: SPM2
Prediction Method Note:

SPM2 Input Parameters:
Date-time:   2018-07-05  04:39
Source Longtitude: -10
Source Latitude:  -5
Initial Shock Speed: 260 km/s 
Background Solar Wind Speed: 440 km/s 
Duration Time: 0.5 hr (default)

Output results: The shock will arrive at the Earth at 2018-07-07 15:53:34

Lead Time: 32.10 hour(s)
Difference: 67.53 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2018-07-09T03:19Z

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If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

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